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enya received a prominent spotlight in US鈥揂frica relations this year. President William Ruto鈥檚 May 2024 state visit marked the first time in 16 years that an African leader received an invitation for this celebration of bilateral relations. The visit to Washington came with a and, notably, the designation of Kenya as a major non-NATO ally鈥攖he first in Sub-Saharan Africa. 

The expanded partnership came under , however, as youth-led protests across Kenya were met with a less than a month after President Ruto鈥檚 trip. The protests responded to the 2024 Finance Bill but had their foundations in longstanding frustrations among Kenyans over the cost of living, government accountability, and corruption.  

It is helpful to contextualize Kenya鈥檚 political challenges and these protests through a long-term lens. Kenya鈥檚 democracy is young. The country鈥檚 first true were in 2002 with the election of President Mwai Kibaki. Then, following election-spurred , the country inaugurated a new constitution. The current government structures are less than 15 years old. 

New institutions are most vulnerable in these early years. As people engage with these institutions, the different sides jockey for power and influence. While, in many cases, the political tussles eventually subside and new institutions become accepted as the 鈥渞ules of the game,鈥� it can take up to a generation. In other cases, this competition can rupture into violent conflict as it did in Kenya in 2007 and 2008.  

Taxation represents one of these fundamental rules of the game and a critical connection between citizens and their government. A closer correlation between a state鈥檚 revenue and citizen taxation than when a government鈥檚 revenue comes, for example, from a commodity such as oil. However, corruption, perceived inequality, or frivolous spending all deeply harm the citizen鈥揼overnment relationship.  

In Kenya, the Gen-Z protests responded to a government that is increasing taxes on a population that does not feel it is getting the appropriate value back. There is across the country, and citizens regularly decry what they see as . On top of that, many citizens feel that their political processes lack genuine consultation and inclusion. 

The Gen-Z protests are an important inflection point in Kenya鈥檚 citizen鈥搒tate relations. How a government responds to these inflection points sets off on a path dependency that can be difficult to alter in the future. Limited responses that do not address structural concerns may provide short-term stopgaps but will ultimately fail to resolve increasing discontent and a fractured citizen鈥揼overnment relationship. With that perspective, the United States has an opportunity, particularly with the newly elevated non-NATO ally relationship, to play a constructive role that can help Kenya strengthen its democracy through experience sharing, engagement, and the promotion of transparent, inclusive, and accountable governance.