浪花直播

Recent studies suggest that a large 鈥測outh bulge鈥濃�攁 youthful population age structure鈥攃an increase the risk of the onset of civil conflict and political violence (Urdal, 2006, Cincotta et al., 2003). These studies exclude states with a recent history of civil conflict, reasoning that they are already highly vulnerable to persistent and re-emerging violence (Collier et al., 2002). Can these two quantifiable variables鈥攑opulation age structure and recent history of civil unrest鈥攂e used to project risks of civil conflict a decade into the future?