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The Exiled Anti-Putin Opposition and the Question of Democratic Representation

Russian blue white protest flags

Russia鈥檚 exiled opposition faces a critical challenge of legitimacy, struggling to connect with the Russian people at home and abroad, and with international audiences as well. While united in their anti-Putin stance, divisions over patriotism, national identity, and Western alignment have hindered their ability to build a cohesive movement. Should it fail to address the grassroots patriotism that resonates with many Russians and move beyond their 鈥渃ivilizing鈥 rhetoric, the opposition will ultimately alienate the very society they claim to represent. Their future depends on bridging this gap and finding a way to genuinely act as representatives of the Russian people.

 

On a chilly November afternoon in Berlin, Yulia Navalnaya, Alexei Navalny鈥檚 widow, joined former political prisoners Ilya Yashin and Vladimir Kara-Murza to lead a  against 鈥.鈥  With strong credentials to deliver a unifying message to Russia鈥檚 exiled opposition, the trio nonetheless faced doubts about the march. Its goals鈥擱ussia鈥檚 immediate withdrawal from Ukraine, Putin鈥檚 prosecution as a war criminal, and the liberation of all political prisoners鈥攕truck many as unrealistic. Among the critics was Luka Andreev, a 16-year-old whose family fled Russia to Estonia three years ago.

 

Andreev attended the Berlin march carrying the traditional Russian white-blue-red flag, a symbol now widely associated with resurgent Russian imperialism since Russia鈥檚 invasion of Ukraine. Fellow demonstrators, marching with the antiwar , quickly tore the tricolor from his hands. Shortly after, Andreev was accused of spreading Putinist propaganda in Estonia鈥檚 leading daily, . His personal information was leaked, his family received threats, and Estonian authorities launched an investigation into his activities.

 

Anti-Putin or Anti-Patriotic?

 

Although  by the march organizers as a minor issue, the flag incident is far from insignificant. At its core, Andreev鈥檚 stance  a political opposition dedicated to . While firmly antiwar and anti-Putin, he rejects the cancellation of Russian culture, the transfer of Russia鈥檚 frozen assets to Ukraine, and attacks on Russian civilian infrastructure. His criticism of 鈥渁nti-Russian excesses鈥 has undoubtedly offended many within the exiled opposition. Yet much of what he advocates would likely resonate as common sense with many Russians, both at home and abroad. After all, it is hardly controversial to suggest that a successful opposition must resonate with and inspire patriotic Russians back home. 

 

In her 2021 work , Karine Cl茅ment highlights the prevalence of 鈥渘on-state patriotism鈥 in urban Russia. The independent, Russia-based polling project Chronicles  that Russian society is not starkly divided between antiwar anti-Putin and pro-war pro-Putin camps. Public Sociology Lab鈥檚  from wartime Russia reveal a blend of distrust for state authorities with strong national identification and solidarity among citizens. These 鈥渃ritical patriots鈥 were a key constituency Alexei Navalny targeted with his anti-corruption, 鈥減ut Russia first鈥 program, emphasizing social justice while avoiding giving offense to patriotic sentiments, such as WWII memory. Navalny understood the importance of grassroots patriotism鈥攕omething today鈥檚 exiled anti-Putin oppositionists seem to overlook, along with the enduring importance of the tricolor flag for many Russians.

 

鈥淩ussia is us,鈥  participants of the Berlin march, to which Putin鈥檚 spokesman Dmitri Peskov  that the exiled opposition was 鈥渃ompletely detached鈥 from Russians at home. The sad truth is that Peskov is politically savvy enough to wrap the regime in patriotism. In the meantime, the anti-Putin opposition, struggling to define whether its primary audience is Russian society, Western political elites, or the transnational pro-Ukraine community, fails to appeal to grassroot patriotic sentiment inside Russia. While denouncing Putin as a dictator and war criminal is justified, adopting the West鈥檚 鈥渘o appeasement鈥 discourse resonates poorly in Russia, where over half the population  peace negotiations. Figures like Ilya Yashin, Vladimir Kara-Murza, and Garry Kasparov diverge on this issue, but the opposition鈥檚 broader silence on 鈥溾 and hesitance to reject calls for Russia鈥檚  alienate potential supporters. Aligning with Zelensky鈥檚 slogan to 鈥溾 or portraying Russians as brainwashed victims in need of reeducation only deepens this divide.

 

The Civilized Opposition and the Russian Narod

 

The exiled Russian opposition often frames itself as shepherds of the Russian people rather than their representatives, reflecting a civilizational discourse. Yulia Navalnaya  building the 鈥渨onderful Russia of the future鈥 her husband dreamed of, while Ilya Yashin  that the march proves a 鈥減eaceful, free, and civilized Russia exists.鈥 Vladimir Kara-Murza  many Russians desire a 鈥渘ormal European civilized democratic鈥 nation. In the meantime, figures like  and  argue that imperialism and militarism pervade Russian society, including the opposition. Despite these differences, the exiled opposition remains united in seeking to return Russia to the 鈥,鈥 often equated with Europe and the broader West.

 

The term 鈥渃ivilization鈥 appears frequently in anti-Putin rhetoric, often mirroring  but with an inverted meaning. Many among the opposition idealize the West as a superior civilization, lament Russia鈥檚 backwardness, and frame their struggle as a mission to . This outlook not only undermines their democratic aspirations by echoing the imperialist attitudes they criticize but also alienates them from Russian society by portraying democracy as something foreign to Russia. Furthermore, as Europe faces its own democratic crises and rising populism, the opposition鈥檚 elitist stance鈥攃ontrasting  Russians with so-called brainwashed 鈥攔einforces the polarizing binary they aim to dismantle, inadvertently reinforcing the Kremlin鈥檚 divisive rhetoric.

 

The Russian anti-Putin opposition is often  for failing to address the problematic legacy of Russian imperialism and the specific needs of the country鈥檚 ethnic minorities鈥攃riticism that is entirely warranted. Equally troubling, however, is the opposition鈥檚 inability to engage with issues of class and social inequality. It appears blind not only to the challenges faced by ethnic minorities but also to those of rural residents, small-town populations, the poor, the under-educated, single mothers, and the elderly. In short, the opposition seems disconnected from a society grappling with profound inequalities鈥攅thnic, class, gender, and regional. This detachment makes it difficult for the opposition to represent a significant portion of Russian society, leaving it vulnerable to the accusation that it represents nobody but itself.

 

Towards a Patriotic Representative Democracy 

Nobody would claim the situation for Russia鈥檚 exiled oppositionists is easy. They do not have a  and struggle to find funding or official status in the EU. They are pressured to show solidarity with Ukraine and oppose their own country. They lack a connection to any grassroot community, be it the Russians living abroad or Russians in Russia. Yet, they must not lose sight of what should be their primary aim: winning the support in Russian society. To do that, they must stop ignoring grassroot Russian patriotism and portraying themselves as civilizers of Russia. Instead, they must find a new way to act as representatives of the Russian people. 

The concept of representation lies at the heart of democracy鈥攊t is the essence of representative governance. Failing to embrace it, as many in the Russian opposition tend to do, is not a constructive path forward. Born from the union of democracy and nationalism, the ideal of vlast鈥 naroda, a government of and by the people, remains a powerful one. To make this ideal resonate, the opposition must embrace it fully, so that one day the slogan of the Berlin march鈥斺淩ussia is us!鈥濃攃an once again ring true for millions of Russians.

 

The opinions expressed in this article are those solely of the authors and do not reflect the views of the Kennan Institute.

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