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While traditional fuels likely will remain part of Africa鈥檚 energy portfolio for some time to come, the fossil fuel industry does face strong headwinds from a continuing global march towards alternative sources of clean energy. Indeed, the energy poverty experienced by nearly a billion Africans seems incomprehensible given the combination of massive untapped oil and gas resources, as well as available hydropower, solar and wind potential across the continent.

But change could be on the horizon if the incoming Trump administration is convinced there is a need to , Indeed, energy might be the frontier for US reengagement with Africa, which has seen both resurgent Chinese largesse including and inroads by the Russians related to their in the Sahel region.

Africa needs huge investments to develop all its natural energy resources, and the race is on for who will fill this investment gap. There is a clear geopolitical message: The nations that step in can win the hearts and minds of African citizenry and elites alike.

The Africa Energy Week held in Cape Town and the Central African Business Energy Forum (CABEF) held in Libreville this past autumn offered possible pathways for such engagement by the incoming Trump administration. As platforms for global investors and Africa鈥檚 public and private sectors to engage in substantive dialogue about Africa鈥檚 energy future, they provided a stage for new thinking on collaboration.  

African Energy Sovereignty as a Pillar

For African nations, energy sovereignty is not merely a development issue. It is also a cornerstone of political and economic independence.

This is something that US leaders鈥攚ho view energy security as integral to national security鈥攃an readily understand. African leaders also argue for the continent鈥檚 right to chart its energy future without external interference. Heineken Lokpobiri, Nigeria鈥檚 Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, succinctly captured this sentiment when he spoke during African Energy Week: 鈥淚t is all geopolitics. What is here in Africa to decarbonize?鈥�

Africa鈥檚 abundant natural resources (including oil, gas, and minerals) remain massively underutilized, despite the fact that the continent accounts for just . Yet Africa bears a disproportionate burden stemming climate impacts.

A recalibrated US-Africa energy strategy could address this obvious contradiction by investing in Africa鈥檚 capacity to harness its energy resources, while respecting the continent鈥檚 development priorities. Support for Africa鈥檚 quest for energy sovereignty also offers the United States a unique opportunity to counterbalance the growing geopolitical influence of China and Russia.

At the heart of Africa鈥檚 energy strategy is a call for investment, not aid.

Championing African energy independence also will allow the for nearly million Africans who lack access to electricity. A strategy focused on strengthening Africa鈥檚 ability to monetize its natural gas resources domestically鈥攚here consumption 鈥攎ight deliver critical development dividends. Such an approach would position the United States as an indispensable partner in Africa鈥檚 long-term energy landscape.

A Just Transition to Balance Goals with Realities

Any recalibration in energy engagement in Africa also should increasingly echoed by African leaders. As the global push for rapid decarbonization gains momentum, Africa鈥檚 unique energy realities demand a more nuanced approach.

The continent contributes minimally to global emissions, yet Africa faces significant . As NJ Ayuk, Chairman of the African Energy Chamber, observed, 鈥淲e are not against the transition, but the transition should not be at the expense of the interest of Africa to determine its own energy future.鈥� 

Thus, African nations argue for an all-inclusive energy strategy that will allow them to develop traditional fuels alongside renewables and nuclear energy. Such a balanced approach would not only provide the continent with much-needed energy security but also create jobs, particularly for its growing youth population. Asked about such a transition, Nathalie Lum, the president of , observed: 鈥淭hrough gas, we will promote industrialization, develop fertilizers, and harness our mining resources. For us, natural gas is the key to the development of Central Africa.鈥�

US alignment with this strategy would mean support for both fossil fuel exploration and investments in renewable technologies For instance, it might play a pivotal role in scaling infrastructure as a bridge to a cleaner energy future. Revenues generated from natural gas exports and increased domestic utilization could fund climate adaptation projects while bolstering economic growth.

Supporting such a multifaceted approach would send a clear message: the United States values African leadership in determining its energy path as it addresses shared global climate challenges. 

Low-Carbon Energy: Unlocking Africa鈥檚 Economic Potential

Several African nations hold vast, untapped reserves of lithium, cobalt, and rare earth minerals that present an unparalleled opportunity for the continent to position itself as a leader in the global energy transition. Coupled with significant solar, wind, and hydropower potential, these resources make Africa uniquely suited to contribute to a global low-carbon future.

Partnering with Africa on low-carbon energy development is both a strategic imperative and an economic opportunity for the United States. A recalibrated US-Africa energy relationship should emphasize on renewable energy technologies and supply chains for critical minerals. American companies armed with cutting-edge technologies could provide the expertise and capital necessary to accelerate Africa鈥檚 adoption of green hydrogen, solar power, and wind energy. (Indeed, African Energy Week highlighted this shift as a record number of renewable energy companies participated in exhibitions and panels.)

For Africa, transitioning to low-carbon energy is not merely about meeting global climate targets. It also will drive economic growth, job creation, and energy independence. The US should seize this moment to support Africa鈥檚 renewable energy ambitions, while ensuring that partnerships are equitable, transparent, and mutually beneficial. This would enable Africa to move beyond reliance on fossil fuel exports while fostering stronger trade and investment ties with the United States.

Investing in African Energies to Shape a New Paradigm

At the heart of Africa鈥檚 energy strategy is a call for investment, not aid. As the theme of African Energy Week put it: 鈥�

Such public sentiments underscore a growing recognition among African leaders that true development hinges on fostering partnerships that prioritize mutual benefit over dependency. And the United States is uniquely positioned to answer this call by stepping in as a reliable investor in both traditional and renewable energy sectors.

Funding remains one of Africa鈥檚 most significant energy challenges, particularly as Western institutions increasingly divest from fossil fuels. The African Petroleum Producers Organization has responded by establishing the (AEB) to ensure continued access to capital for oil and gas projects.

Nations such as and Saudi Arabia have ramped up their investments, seeking to fill the funding void. Increased engagement in Africa鈥檚 energy financing by US institutions and corporations could simultaneously reassert American geopolitical influence and foster economic stability on the continent.

African leaders remain wary of financial aid schemes tied to stringent conditions, however, including those historically imposed by Bretton Woods institutions. To build trust, the United States must approach African energy development as a partnership. Framing its investments as opportunities for shared growth鈥攔ather than charity鈥攚ill allow the US to help Africa unlock its energy potential as it advances its own strategic interests.

Strategic Path Forward: A US-Africa Energy Alliance

Any recalibration of energy diplomacy by the incoming Trump administration must prioritize actionable, impactful initiatives that align with Africa鈥檚 energy needs.

Support for Africa鈥檚 energy sovereignty via infrastructure investments that enable the monetization of domestic resources is essential. The United States also must embrace a just energy transition framework that balances fossil fuel development with renewable energy growth. And a robust commitment to Africa鈥檚 low-carbon future鈥攖hrough partnerships in technology, critical mineral supply chains, and green energy projects鈥攚ould solidify the United States as a leader in Africa鈥檚 energy transformation.

Adopting a will allow the US to foster a long-term alliance with Africa that begins (and not ends) with energy development. Doing so will cement the role of the US as a trusted ally鈥攁nd ensure American leadership on a continent that is rapidly becoming a focal point of global competition.

This post was originally released to New Security Beat, the blog of the 浪花直播 Center Environmental Change and Security Program. It has been cross-posted to Africa Up Close by request and with permission of ECSP.